Note that this article can be read in a slighly modified and updated form at Terrestri(e)alism. And that claims of a Ukrainian sabotage of all Russian disinformation networks may be premature.
I’m going to make a case here that would have struck most observers as counter-intuitive, if not absurd, five years ago. (That’s less true for observers who know Ukrainian history, but part of my point will be that knowledge of Ukrainian history is not exactly widespread among western, or any, non-Ukrainian observers.)
For the last couple of years, Ukrainian drones have been targeting Russian oil refineries, fuel storage and logistics hubs, military bases, airfields, and shipping assets (see full list below). That makes Ukraine’s drone warfare a leading edge of democratic resistance against Russian neo-imperialism. That Russia’s attempt to take over Ukraine is a neo-imperial project, and that Ukraine’s resistance represents not some western plot but the genuine desires of the majority of Ukrainians, can hardly be questioned any longer.
Ukrainian drones have more recently begun to target Russian data centers, hitting at least three of the largest belonging to tech/AI giant Yandex (sometimes called “Russia’s Google”), as well as the Wildberries and Ozon e-commerce distribution warehouses. This development is noteworthy for reasons I want to expand on here.
The larger context is one in which US support for Ukraine has declined to practically nil, with Donald Trump just announcing a deal to purchase Russian diesel, and then calling for President Zelensky to be replaced by a president who’s willing to cave in to Washington’s and Moscow’s pressure to end the war on Putin’s terms. The absurdity of Trump’s announcement after last month’s signing of the Lindsay O. Graham Sanctioning Russia and Iran Act, which authorized tariffs on countries that buy Russian oil, has not gone unnoticed. Trump’s long history of coziness with Putin’s regime is of course well known; Heather Cox Richardson’s summary from yesterday is as good as any on that topic. None of this is veiled anymore.
Meanwhile, Zelensky has pledged to continue drone attacks on Russian oil for as long as Russia continues bombing Ukrainian cities and infrastructure. But the attacks on Yandex are noteworthy because they’re in fact connected to what underlies all of this for Trump: the upcoming U.S. elections. Trump knows US voters are unhappy with high gas prices, and he knows they know that his failing war on Iran is to blame, so he wants to deflect the blame onto Zelensky for attacking Russian diesel. Most of the US public won’t buy this, but he’ll keep repeating it so that at least his own base (which is still about 30% of the population) buys it, and to scare his Republican toadies into accepting it or at least not disagreeing with him publicly. The rest, he hopes, can be engineered through the US’s manipulable electoral system to keep him and Republicans in power.
The attack on Yandex, however, is an attack on the infrastructure that enables Russian disinformation to spread around the world — which makes it an attack on the global far-right disinformation machine. It is that machine that shares a good part of the blame for the rise of MAGA in the US, along with the other pro-Russian or strongly Russian-leaning right-wing parties across Europe: Germany’s Alternative für Deutschland (AfD), France’s Rassembelement National, Britain’s Reform UK, Austria’s Freedom Party (FPÖ), Italy’s Lega, Hungary’s Fidesz, Slovakia’s Republika movement, Poland’s PiS and Konfederacja parties, et al. It also reaches well beyond Europe into the Global South, where parties on the right and the left are subject to its influence.
Gauging the impact of Ukraine’s targeting of Russian internet infrastructure is not so easy, but the reports I’ve seen so far, while not authoritative, appear promising. Cloudflare‘s traffic measurement site seems to show that Russian bot traffic “dropped dramatically” after the first two attacks on Yandex. Cybersecurity and digital governance site Netblocks reports a drop of more than two thirds in Yandex Cloud traffic:
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