{"id":443,"date":"2011-01-04T12:43:20","date_gmt":"2011-01-04T16:43:20","guid":{"rendered":"http:\/\/blog.uvm.edu\/jmsmith\/?p=443"},"modified":"2011-01-04T12:43:20","modified_gmt":"2011-01-04T16:43:20","slug":"behind-the-8-ball","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/blog.uvm.edu\/jmsmith\/2011\/01\/04\/behind-the-8-ball\/","title":{"rendered":"Behind the 8-ball"},"content":{"rendered":"<p><a href=\"http:\/\/blog.uvm.edu\/jmsmith\/files\/2011\/01\/8-ball.jpg\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" class=\"alignright size-medium wp-image-445\" src=\"http:\/\/blog.uvm.edu\/jmsmith\/files\/2011\/01\/8-ball-300x300.jpg\" alt=\"\" width=\"300\" height=\"300\" srcset=\"https:\/\/blog.uvm.edu\/jmsmith\/files\/2011\/01\/8-ball-300x300.jpg 300w, https:\/\/blog.uvm.edu\/jmsmith\/files\/2011\/01\/8-ball-150x150.jpg 150w, https:\/\/blog.uvm.edu\/jmsmith\/files\/2011\/01\/8-ball.jpg 1024w\" sizes=\"auto, (max-width: 300px) 100vw, 300px\" \/><\/a>In a highly contagious disease event, our official response personnel would be behind a very large 8-ball because the disease moves ahead of our ability to detect it.\u00a0 Everyone needs to recognize that the moment a case of foot-and-mouth disease was confirmed, more would be incubating.\u00a0 It can take days to weeks for signs to be recognized and reported.\u00a0 In some animals, like sheep, signs may be minimal.\u00a0 Disease may go unnoticed and inadvertently spread to other susceptible livestock.<\/p>\n<p>Farms will be affected by the official response whether they are part of an eradication campaign, a vaccination campaign, or a changing landscape of movement restrictions and biosecurity requirements.\u00a0 Even farms far outside of the \u201chot zone\u201d would be affected due to loss of export markets and possibly other product markets.<\/p>\n<p>If people assume because there is a plan that they will be taken care of, they may be in for a surprise.\u00a0 Dr. Steve Van Wie, biosecurity consultant on the AFRI biosecurity project, has done some investigation of the indemnity rules that would apply. \u00a0The value of livestock culled in a disease emergency would be determined based on market value.\u00a0 How do you think markets would respond to a case of FMD?\u00a0 (Here\u2019s a hint:\u00a0 the beef industry is estimated to have lost over $3 billion (3 followed by 9 zeroes) in 2004 following the discovery of a case of bovine spongiform encephalopathy (aka Mad Cow Disease) in Washington state in December 2003.)\u00a0 OK, different disease.\u00a0 FMD doesn\u2019t make people sick.\u00a0 But do people know that?\u00a0 (See previous post.)<\/p>\n<p>Our project, rather than duplicating previous and ongoing efforts, complements those by identifying and working to fill gaps in preparedness. \u00a0Farmers, by and large, don&#8217;t have plans for what to do in the event of a disease disaster and their communities don&#8217;t have plans for how to support local farmers. \u00a0Filling those gaps is the crux of our project.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>In a highly contagious disease event, our official response personnel would be behind a very large 8-ball because the disease moves ahead of our ability to detect it.\u00a0 Everyone needs to recognize that the moment a case of foot-and-mouth disease &hellip; <a href=\"https:\/\/blog.uvm.edu\/jmsmith\/2011\/01\/04\/behind-the-8-ball\/\">Continue reading <span class=\"meta-nav\">&rarr;<\/span><\/a><\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":439,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[15824],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-443","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","hentry","category-just-my-thoughts"],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/blog.uvm.edu\/jmsmith\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/443","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/blog.uvm.edu\/jmsmith\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/blog.uvm.edu\/jmsmith\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/blog.uvm.edu\/jmsmith\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/439"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/blog.uvm.edu\/jmsmith\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=443"}],"version-history":[{"count":3,"href":"https:\/\/blog.uvm.edu\/jmsmith\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/443\/revisions"}],"predecessor-version":[{"id":447,"href":"https:\/\/blog.uvm.edu\/jmsmith\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/443\/revisions\/447"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/blog.uvm.edu\/jmsmith\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=443"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/blog.uvm.edu\/jmsmith\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=443"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/blog.uvm.edu\/jmsmith\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=443"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}