Evaluating Resilience of Vermont’s Dairy Industry through Simulation Modeling
This project will utilize simulation models to better understand the impact of potential biosecurity risks on the dairy industry in Vermont and to develop strategies for minimizing the consequences of these risks. Highly contagious animal diseases, such as foot-and-mouth disease, that can be spread by indirect as well as direct contact require severe measures to control. A survey instrument to characterize the rate of direct and indirect contacts among dairy farms was developed and distributed to Vermont dairy farmers in 2010. Knowledge of baseline Vermont-specific contact rates among farms and how these might change in the face of a highly contagious disease epidemic would inform more accurate modeling of the potential spread of disease and effectiveness of control measures.
Project leaders: Julie M. Smith (ASCI)
Funding agency: Competitive Hatch funding through VT AES